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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+2.02vs Predicted
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20.13+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.07-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-2.00+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.11-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.3021.2%1st Place
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3.160.1321.4%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.3713.2%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Davis0.0724.3%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Davis-2.002.3%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Santa Cruz-0.4012.7%1st Place
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5.08University of California at San Diego-1.114.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Summer Drake | 21.2% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
SCYC 2 | 21.4% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
Artie Nazarov | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 5.2% |
Braedon Hansen | 24.3% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
Sam Dudley | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 18.3% | 60.8% |
Jonas Holdenried | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 5.3% |
Ryan McCrystal | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 29.4% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.