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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+7.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+6.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.77vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+3.05vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54+3.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.13vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-3.75vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.25vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-2.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.99-3.44vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.85vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-4.05vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.22vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.83-3.00vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.43vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.25Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.95University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.78SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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10.04Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Alex Cook | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 18.7% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 24.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.