← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.37+2.87vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+1.13vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+0.90vs Predicted
-
40.13-0.87vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis0.07-2.05vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-2.00+0.05vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.11-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.3714.1%1st Place
-
3.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.3021.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.4013.0%1st Place
-
3.130.1321.1%1st Place
-
2.95University of California at Davis0.0721.9%1st Place
-
6.05University of California at Davis-2.002.2%1st Place
-
4.97University of California at San Diego-1.116.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artie Nazarov | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 6.7% |
| Summer Drake | 21.1% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 13.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 5.8% |
| SCYC 2 | 21.1% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 21.9% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Sam Dudley | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 61.3% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 30.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.