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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+2.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+1.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+2.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+0.92vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78-0.70vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.83-1.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.50-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.61-2.23vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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3.62Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.3College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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5.03Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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10.61Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 19.7% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 20.5% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 1.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 24.4% | 5.7% |
| Christine Porter | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 30.1% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.