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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.25+5.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.48vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.53+9.00vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.84+3.74vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.62+3.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.65+7.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-2.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-2.38vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-1.89vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+4.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-3.84vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.06vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.62-5.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-8.14vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.62-4.08vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.0Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.74Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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14.29University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.62Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.11Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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15.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Brown | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 34.9% | 20.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Lisa Archibald | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 14.9% | 66.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.