Race 1A

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alex Tong 37.0% 26.2% 17.2% 11.3% 5.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 16.9% 17.2% 18.1% 15.8% 14.9% 9.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
Duncan Swian 13.1% 14.1% 17.2% 16.7% 15.8% 11.2% 7.2% 3.8% 0.8%
Kate Shaner 5.9% 5.3% 8.1% 9.5% 11.6% 16.4% 17.1% 16.2% 10.0%
Julien Guiot 4.1% 5.2% 5.8% 9.6% 12.6% 14.3% 17.1% 18.6% 12.8%
Emily Shanley-Roberts 4.1% 5.2% 7.1% 9.8% 11.1% 14.9% 17.1% 18.8% 11.9%
Dan Nickerson 14.0% 19.3% 17.9% 16.2% 13.6% 10.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Pierre du Pont 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.5% 8.3% 12.0% 17.8% 45.0%
Aaron Klein 3.1% 4.6% 5.6% 7.2% 9.6% 13.5% 18.1% 20.2% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.