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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+7.54vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+5.28vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.18vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.91vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+4.30vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.80vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-0.43vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.00vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.54-1.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.99-4.97vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.74-8.83vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.68-1.65vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.83-3.05vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.31vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.3University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.26Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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5.17Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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13.35University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Harry Scott | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Cook | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 18.6% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Michael Reindl | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 23.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.