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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.03+1.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.90+1.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University-0.57+3.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.89-0.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.02+3.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.32+1.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-0.01+2.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-0.70-1.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-1.14-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Tufts University2.0343.2%1st Place
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3.66Tufts University0.9015.2%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University-0.572.6%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University0.8913.7%1st Place
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8Tufts University0.020.0%1st Place
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7Tufts University0.320.0%1st Place
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9Tufts University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University-0.703.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University-1.142.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altreuter | 43.2% | 27.1% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Douglas McKeige | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Joe Petrucci | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| Bill Lynn | 13.7% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| George Atwood | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 18.0% |
| Michael Edelman | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.