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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.55vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+6.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.15vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+4.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+1.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+3.27vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.88+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.27vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.17vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.83+1.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.13vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.99-6.85vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.42vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.91vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.54-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.23Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.27Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.27University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.17Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.47SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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13.58University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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13.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Alex Cook | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Michael Reindl | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Russom | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 24.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.