Race 2A

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alex Tong 37.1% 24.9% 17.2% 11.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 15.6% 18.2% 18.6% 16.6% 12.8% 10.2% 5.5% 1.9% 0.7%
Dan Nickerson 16.4% 17.8% 18.2% 16.4% 12.9% 10.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Aaron Klein 2.9% 4.2% 6.3% 7.0% 9.4% 13.5% 17.8% 20.2% 18.8%
Duncan Swian 13.2% 14.9% 14.9% 16.8% 18.2% 10.9% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9%
Pierre du Pont 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.1% 8.2% 10.5% 20.2% 44.5%
Emily Shanley-Roberts 4.2% 6.9% 7.1% 9.3% 11.3% 15.8% 17.2% 17.3% 10.8%
Kate Shaner 4.5% 5.5% 8.3% 9.0% 12.6% 14.6% 16.4% 17.8% 11.2%
Julien Guiot 4.5% 5.0% 6.3% 9.5% 12.2% 13.9% 18.9% 17.2% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.