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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.49vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+3.57vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+2.11vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.07+4.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.99+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.44vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-1.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-1.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.19vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.25vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.26vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-5.89vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.83-3.93vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.96Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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10.23University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.74SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 20.2% |
| Michael Russom | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.