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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.03+1.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.32+5.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.89+0.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University-0.70+2.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-0.01+4.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.90-2.27vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.02+1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-0.57-1.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-1.14-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Tufts University2.0343.6%1st Place
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7Tufts University0.320.0%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University0.8913.4%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University-0.702.9%1st Place
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9Tufts University-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University0.9013.9%1st Place
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8Tufts University0.020.0%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University-0.573.2%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University-1.142.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altreuter | 43.6% | 28.1% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Lynn | 13.4% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| George Atwood | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| Douglas McKeige | 13.9% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Joe Petrucci | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 20.4% |
| Michael Edelman | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.