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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+5.90vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.87vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.83+5.88vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.54+1.05vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.99-2.63vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.22vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-3.85vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-6.21vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.45vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.22Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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13.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.15Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.81SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 20.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Harry Scott | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Michael Russom | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 25.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.