Race 3A

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alex Tong 36.0% 25.5% 18.8% 10.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Duncan Swian 13.2% 14.6% 16.1% 17.2% 15.2% 11.4% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Emily Shanley-Roberts 3.5% 7.3% 7.0% 8.8% 12.6% 15.7% 16.5% 16.5% 12.2%
Dan Nickerson 16.3% 15.7% 17.5% 17.4% 15.8% 8.8% 5.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Scott Barbano 16.1% 17.8% 17.5% 16.2% 14.5% 10.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Julien Guiot 5.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 10.3% 14.0% 17.6% 18.8% 11.8%
Aaron Klein 3.3% 4.3% 4.9% 7.1% 8.3% 13.5% 17.5% 21.7% 19.4%
Kate Shaner 4.3% 5.2% 6.8% 10.8% 11.3% 14.9% 18.2% 16.8% 11.7%
Pierre du Pont 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 9.2% 11.3% 18.1% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.