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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+7.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+7.48vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+5.12vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83+7.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+2.04vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.07+4.88vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.99-2.68vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-7.69vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-4.12vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.29vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.46vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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5.44Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.88Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 18.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 19.2% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Harry Scott | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 23.8% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.