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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.07+11.10vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.69vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+2.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.99+4.03vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+3.48vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.90vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01+0.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-1.87vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-0.62vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-3.17vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.83-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-4.80vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.16vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.55-6.89vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.1Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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5.41Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.01Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.84SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Reindl | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Michael Russom | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.