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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.03+0.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.02+6.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.90+0.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.89-0.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-0.01+4.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.32+1.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-0.57-0.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-0.70-1.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-1.14-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Tufts University2.0345.3%1st Place
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8Tufts University0.020.0%1st Place
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3.76Tufts University0.9013.6%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University0.8913.3%1st Place
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9Tufts University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7Tufts University0.320.0%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University-0.573.6%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University-0.703.4%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University-1.141.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altreuter | 45.3% | 28.8% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas McKeige | 13.6% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Bill Lynn | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Joe Petrucci | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 19.9% |
| George Atwood | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 17.9% |
| Michael Edelman | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.