Race 4A

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Julien Guiot 3.0% 5.8% 6.9% 9.8% 11.5% 14.4% 16.0% 19.5% 13.2%
Dan Nickerson 14.1% 17.9% 17.2% 17.1% 14.2% 10.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Alex Tong 38.8% 25.6% 17.6% 9.8% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Shanley-Roberts 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.4% 12.0% 14.5% 18.2% 17.0% 12.2%
Scott Barbano 17.1% 16.8% 18.3% 17.1% 11.9% 10.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Duncan Swian 11.7% 15.8% 17.3% 16.1% 15.5% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 0.8%
Aaron Klein 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 7.8% 10.7% 11.5% 16.1% 20.9% 20.2%
Kate Shaner 4.9% 5.3% 7.4% 9.8% 12.3% 15.7% 16.8% 16.8% 11.0%
Pierre du Pont 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 6.7% 8.5% 13.2% 17.8% 41.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.