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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+8.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+11.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.53vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+3.95vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.66vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+3.21vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+2.12vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-3.78vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-2.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.99-5.04vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.55-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia3.54-5.04vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-7.33vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.83-4.00vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.66SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.21University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.16Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.67Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Michael Reindl | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Alex Cook | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 18.8% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.