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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.90+2.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.03+0.08vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.89+0.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.32+3.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-0.70+1.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.01+3.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.02+1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-0.57-1.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-1.14-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Tufts University0.9013.5%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University2.0343.4%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University0.8915.2%1st Place
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7Tufts University0.320.0%1st Place
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6.31Tufts University-0.703.0%1st Place
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9Tufts University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8Tufts University0.020.0%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University-0.573.0%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University-1.141.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas McKeige | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam Altreuter | 43.4% | 27.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Lynn | 15.2% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| George Atwood | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| Joe Petrucci | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 19.8% |
| Michael Edelman | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.