Race 5A

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Dan Nickerson 15.1% 17.6% 17.0% 17.0% 14.9% 9.8% 5.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Scott Barbano 16.7% 17.8% 19.1% 15.9% 13.7% 8.9% 5.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Alex Tong 37.1% 26.8% 17.2% 10.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Kate Shaner 4.5% 6.2% 8.0% 7.9% 11.8% 17.0% 17.8% 16.9% 10.0%
Duncan Swian 12.4% 13.8% 15.4% 17.7% 16.0% 13.6% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1%
Julien Guiot 4.8% 5.4% 6.4% 9.4% 12.0% 14.5% 18.4% 17.0% 12.0%
Pierre du Pont 1.5% 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 8.1% 11.7% 18.0% 45.1%
Aaron Klein 2.9% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 11.9% 17.3% 21.5% 18.2%
Emily Shanley-Roberts 5.0% 5.1% 6.8% 9.4% 11.7% 14.2% 16.8% 18.3% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.