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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.99+7.25vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+6.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+6.31vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+5.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.86vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07+5.76vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.70+8.77vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+2.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.69vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-1.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.52vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.98vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.88-4.69vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-6.15vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-4.96vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.74-10.70vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.72vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.76Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.02SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.04University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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13.28University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Reindl | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Christine DeSilva | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 54.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Harry Scott | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Alex Cook | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 14.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.