Race 6A

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Dan Nickerson 16.7% 17.5% 16.6% 17.1% 14.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Duncan Swian 13.7% 14.8% 17.2% 18.5% 14.1% 10.8% 6.5% 3.4% 1.0%
Alex Tong 36.8% 25.1% 19.2% 10.7% 5.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Kate Shaner 4.5% 6.0% 6.5% 8.3% 12.3% 16.0% 17.5% 17.2% 11.8%
Scott Barbano 15.5% 19.4% 16.2% 17.2% 14.1% 10.0% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Aaron Klein 3.0% 4.2% 6.0% 6.8% 10.7% 12.4% 17.5% 21.1% 18.2%
Emily Shanley-Roberts 3.5% 5.0% 6.9% 9.2% 12.0% 16.2% 18.6% 17.5% 11.2%
Julien Guiot 4.5% 5.5% 7.6% 8.3% 11.8% 15.2% 16.8% 17.8% 12.5%
Pierre du Pont 1.8% 2.5% 3.7% 4.0% 5.5% 7.7% 12.5% 18.3% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.