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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+4.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+6.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84+4.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.25+1.05vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43-0.28vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17-0.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.62-1.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.53+0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut2.62-1.23vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-5.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+0.95vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.65-1.69vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-5.28vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.66Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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5.72Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.11Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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15.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.680.0%1st Place
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14.31University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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11.72Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Mathew Renik | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 4.7% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 3.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Lisa Archibald | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 6.6% | 16.8% | 65.5% |
| Christopher Edwards | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 32.6% | 21.6% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.