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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.34vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.07+9.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.34vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.99-0.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.67vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-0.80vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-1.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.70+1.67vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-7.28vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-7.97vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.54-7.02vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.06Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.13Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.41Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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15.67University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 11.1% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 52.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Michael Russom | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.