Race 1B

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ansgar Jordan 30.9% 28.6% 18.9% 11.7% 5.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sammy Shea 30.4% 26.2% 19.4% 12.1% 6.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sabina Van Mell 5.0% 6.2% 10.2% 11.4% 14.6% 15.6% 19.0% 14.6% 3.5%
Wells Drayton 3.8% 5.1% 8.0% 9.7% 14.4% 14.3% 18.7% 18.3% 7.7%
Austen Freda 8.1% 7.5% 10.5% 13.7% 14.9% 17.7% 15.0% 10.6% 1.9%
Alex Fasolo 9.9% 11.5% 13.9% 17.1% 15.6% 14.9% 11.1% 5.2% 0.9%
Abbie Carlson 3.0% 3.2% 5.0% 5.8% 8.3% 11.2% 16.2% 30.6% 16.8%
Matthew Galbraith 8.2% 10.5% 12.8% 16.9% 17.2% 15.0% 12.0% 6.2% 1.2%
Jacob Witney 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 4.0% 6.2% 14.2% 68.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.