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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+10.42vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.81vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+2.94vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.16vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.81vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49+1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.99-1.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.80vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.70+2.70vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.88-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-5.00vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.07-4.15vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.02vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.54-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.55SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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15.7University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.85Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 14.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Michael Reindl | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Christine DeSilva | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 52.1% |
| Alex Cook | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.