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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.84+1.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.10+1.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.89+0.47vs Predicted
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4Tufts University-0.32+1.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-0.48+0.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.44-1.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-0.47-1.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-1.13-1.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-1.70-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Tufts University1.8440.2%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University1.1018.8%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University0.8916.1%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University-0.324.5%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University-0.483.8%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy0.449.9%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University-0.474.0%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University-1.131.9%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University-1.700.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Connell | 40.2% | 27.2% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Nadel | 18.8% | 20.6% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Josh Adams | 16.1% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jenny Scarborough | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| Alix Hahn | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 8.0% |
| Robert Richards | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Greg Stevens | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 8.5% |
| Julie Brenninkmeyer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 26.5% | 25.8% |
| Bob Patterson | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.