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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.45vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+6.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.32vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.07+6.55vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.70vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.27vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49+1.09vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-1.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.99-2.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.18vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.27vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.88-5.84vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-6.09vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.70-1.06vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.55Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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9.15Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.09Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 11.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cook | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Christine DeSilva | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 55.9% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.