Race 2B

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ansgar Jordan 30.9% 27.0% 19.4% 12.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sammy Shea 28.8% 26.9% 20.2% 13.6% 6.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Alex Fasolo 10.8% 12.3% 13.8% 16.7% 15.2% 13.6% 11.3% 4.9% 1.5%
Austen Freda 7.9% 8.6% 10.7% 14.2% 16.0% 17.1% 13.8% 9.6% 2.0%
Matthew Galbraith 8.2% 10.0% 14.0% 15.7% 16.7% 14.3% 13.4% 6.5% 1.2%
Abbie Carlson 2.9% 2.4% 4.8% 5.5% 7.4% 13.0% 17.5% 31.4% 15.1%
Wells Drayton 4.3% 5.3% 7.3% 9.6% 14.2% 14.8% 19.4% 18.6% 6.2%
Sabina Van Mell 5.6% 6.2% 8.5% 10.0% 14.3% 17.5% 16.9% 16.1% 4.9%
Jacob Witney 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 4.2% 6.2% 12.7% 69.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.