← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.84+1.13vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.89+1.52vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.10+0.16vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy0.44+0.27vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University-0.32+0.58vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University-0.48-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University-1.13-0.09vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University-0.47-2.24vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University-1.70-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.13Tufts University1.8440.8%1st Place
-
3.52Tufts University0.8914.6%1st Place
-
3.16Tufts University1.1019.2%1st Place
-
4.27U. S. Naval Academy0.449.8%1st Place
-
5.58Tufts University-0.325.0%1st Place
-
5.92Tufts University-0.483.9%1st Place
-
6.91Tufts University-1.131.7%1st Place
-
5.76Tufts University-0.473.9%1st Place
-
7.74Tufts University-1.701.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Connell | 40.8% | 27.2% | 17.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Adams | 14.6% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Josh Nadel | 19.2% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Richards | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Jenny Scarborough | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 6.6% |
| Alix Hahn | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 8.2% |
| Julie Brenninkmeyer | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 24.9% | 25.2% |
| Greg Stevens | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 8.2% |
| Bob Patterson | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 21.2% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.