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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+7.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+5.63vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54+4.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.75vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+2.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.27vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.99-3.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-3.07vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.07-2.58vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-7.07vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.70-0.11vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.72-7.67vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.990.1%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.42Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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15.89University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Harry Scott | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Reindl | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine DeSilva | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 54.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Russom | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.