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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.59vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.14+8.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.14+5.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+5.48vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.75vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+0.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-2.19vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.78vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.19-4.87vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.72vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.97+1.21vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.46-1.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.10vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.41vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.88-9.73vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.72University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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12.52Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Harrison | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sean Golden | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| John Wallace | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 34.2% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 28.5% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.