Race 3B

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alex Fasolo 8.8% 11.4% 14.2% 16.4% 16.7% 14.4% 11.8% 5.2% 1.2%
Sammy Shea 29.1% 26.7% 19.7% 14.1% 6.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Sabina Van Mell 5.3% 6.5% 9.4% 11.7% 15.7% 16.0% 17.0% 14.9% 3.5%
Matthew Galbraith 10.2% 10.9% 12.6% 14.8% 16.8% 14.5% 12.0% 6.6% 1.7%
Wells Drayton 5.1% 5.5% 7.6% 10.0% 11.7% 15.6% 19.7% 19.1% 5.9%
Ansgar Jordan 32.0% 27.7% 19.0% 11.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Austen Freda 6.2% 7.6% 11.7% 13.8% 15.6% 18.4% 15.2% 9.1% 2.5%
Abbie Carlson 2.5% 2.9% 4.8% 6.3% 8.2% 11.6% 16.5% 31.3% 15.8%
Jacob Witney 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 4.0% 6.5% 13.5% 69.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.