← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.84+1.15vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.89+1.46vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy0.44+1.22vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.10-0.83vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University-0.47+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University-0.32-0.41vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University-1.13-0.05vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University-0.48-2.10vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University-1.70-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15Tufts University1.8440.2%1st Place
-
3.46Tufts University0.8916.2%1st Place
-
4.22U. S. Naval Academy0.449.7%1st Place
-
3.17Tufts University1.1018.5%1st Place
-
5.91Tufts University-0.473.4%1st Place
-
5.59Tufts University-0.325.1%1st Place
-
6.95Tufts University-1.132.0%1st Place
-
5.9Tufts University-0.483.8%1st Place
-
7.64Tufts University-1.701.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Connell | 40.2% | 27.9% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Adams | 16.2% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Richards | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Josh Nadel | 18.5% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Greg Stevens | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 7.4% |
| Jenny Scarborough | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 7.2% |
| Julie Brenninkmeyer | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 25.2% | 27.2% |
| Alix Hahn | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 8.0% |
| Bob Patterson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.