Race 4B

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ansgar Jordan 32.5% 27.6% 18.8% 11.3% 6.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Sabina Van Mell 5.8% 7.2% 8.2% 12.0% 14.9% 16.2% 17.1% 14.2% 4.3%
Sammy Shea 29.4% 26.9% 20.8% 11.9% 6.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Galbraith 7.6% 9.0% 12.4% 15.7% 17.3% 16.6% 13.6% 6.6% 1.2%
Alex Fasolo 10.3% 11.0% 14.7% 16.6% 16.1% 14.2% 10.5% 5.1% 1.5%
Austen Freda 6.6% 8.6% 10.8% 15.8% 15.7% 16.0% 15.0% 9.5% 2.1%
Abbie Carlson 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 6.0% 7.8% 11.3% 17.6% 30.7% 16.9%
Jacob Witney 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 5.8% 14.4% 67.9%
Wells Drayton 4.8% 5.3% 9.2% 8.8% 12.3% 15.4% 18.8% 19.3% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.