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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+8.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+4.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+7.30vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.14+5.00vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.14+2.07vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.67vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-3.80vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.97+3.44vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.76vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.46-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.49vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.34vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.05-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.4Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.07University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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7.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.44University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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10.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.75Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.66SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| William Macdonald | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| David Harrison | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 30.2% |
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 29.6% |
| Nick Valente | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.