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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.10+2.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.84+0.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.44+1.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University-0.47+1.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.89-1.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.48-0.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-1.70+0.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-0.32-2.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-1.13-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Tufts University1.1019.4%1st Place
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2.17Tufts University1.8439.2%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy0.449.5%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University-0.473.5%1st Place
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3.41Tufts University0.8916.9%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University-0.484.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University-1.701.2%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University-0.324.7%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University-1.131.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Nadel | 19.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kerry Connell | 39.2% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Richards | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Greg Stevens | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 8.2% |
| Josh Adams | 16.9% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alix Hahn | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 9.3% |
| Bob Patterson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 48.9% |
| Jenny Scarborough | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 6.5% |
| Julie Brenninkmeyer | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 25.6% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.