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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+6.39vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.57vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+1.98vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.14+4.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+3.37vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.46+3.84vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.97+3.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.23vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-6.15vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-3.78vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.50vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.54vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.24-7.09vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.47-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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12.84Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.22Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.5SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.91University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Michael Grove | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.5% |
| John Wallace | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 29.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 30.4% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Sean Golden | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.