Race 5B

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ansgar Jordan 31.6% 25.6% 18.6% 13.1% 6.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Galbraith 7.8% 10.2% 13.9% 16.4% 15.5% 16.9% 11.3% 6.7% 1.4%
Sammy Shea 30.8% 26.8% 19.8% 12.0% 7.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Austen Freda 7.4% 8.6% 10.9% 13.7% 14.7% 17.2% 14.9% 10.4% 2.1%
Wells Drayton 4.3% 5.6% 7.5% 9.8% 13.8% 15.3% 19.4% 18.1% 6.2%
Alex Fasolo 9.6% 12.6% 14.3% 17.3% 15.7% 14.9% 10.0% 4.8% 0.9%
Sabina Van Mell 5.2% 6.6% 8.8% 9.8% 15.1% 16.1% 20.0% 14.3% 4.1%
Abbie Carlson 2.6% 3.3% 5.0% 5.3% 8.1% 11.2% 15.4% 32.6% 16.6%
Jacob Witney 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 6.6% 13.0% 68.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.