Race 6B

tufts-alumni-2023-420s

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ansgar Jordan 33.4% 27.1% 19.1% 10.8% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Sammy Shea 27.4% 27.0% 20.3% 13.6% 7.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Galbraith 9.2% 10.2% 13.0% 17.1% 15.9% 15.2% 11.4% 6.4% 1.7%
Alex Fasolo 9.9% 11.2% 14.8% 16.7% 17.2% 15.0% 9.6% 4.8% 0.9%
Wells Drayton 4.6% 5.2% 7.2% 10.0% 13.1% 15.2% 18.1% 20.8% 5.8%
Austen Freda 6.2% 9.4% 11.1% 13.5% 15.8% 17.2% 16.4% 8.5% 2.0%
Sabina Van Mell 5.7% 5.5% 8.6% 10.7% 14.3% 16.0% 18.9% 15.3% 5.0%
Abbie Carlson 2.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.7% 8.0% 11.3% 18.0% 30.3% 15.2%
Jacob Witney 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 4.0% 5.9% 13.6% 69.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.