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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+5.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+7.16vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+3.33vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.05vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.84+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.62+0.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.62+2.43vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.44-1.31vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.53+0.70vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.65+1.96vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-7.14vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-6.43vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.11vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.70-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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12.7Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.96University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.26Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| William Brown | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 11.7% |
| Peter Miller | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 15.4% |
| Christopher Edwards | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 52.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Billy Rohman | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.