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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+1.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University-0.54+2.80vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.35-0.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.23-0.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.26-1.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-1.09-0.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-1.12-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Tufts University1.1529.8%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University-0.545.7%1st Place
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2.24Tufts University1.3535.4%1st Place
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3.74Tufts University0.2311.1%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University0.2612.4%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University-1.093.5%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University-1.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hornos | 29.8% | 25.8% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Easton | 5.7% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 17.7% |
| Jeff Cruise | 35.4% | 29.5% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaity Storck Potts | 11.1% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| David Siegal | 12.4% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 25.2% | 35.9% |
| Andrew Criezis | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 26.2% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.