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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.24+8.94vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+9.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+0.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.14+2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+5.49vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.55vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.36vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46+1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.97+1.22vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-7.32vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-4.56vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.48vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-8.13vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.47-9.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.64SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.11Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.52Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Monllor | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Ford | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| John Wallace | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 30.8% |
| Raul Rios | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 28.9% |
| William Macdonald | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Sean Golden | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.