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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+1.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.26+1.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.15-0.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.23-0.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-1.12+0.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-1.09-0.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-0.54-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Tufts University1.3535.9%1st Place
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3.66Tufts University0.2611.6%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University1.1529.8%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University0.2310.3%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University-1.123.1%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University-1.094.2%1st Place
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4.78Tufts University-0.545.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Cruise | 35.9% | 28.9% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| David Siegal | 11.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Tomas Hornos | 29.8% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaity Storck Potts | 10.3% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Criezis | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 40.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 25.9% | 35.9% |
| Michael Easton | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.