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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.61vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.43vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+3.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.00vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.50vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+0.68vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-1.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.40vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.63+4.27vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.23vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.46-0.46vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.19-8.21vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.65vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.24-6.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-5.43vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.14-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.68Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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15.27University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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10.77SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.54Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.79Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.35University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Wallace | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Sean Golden | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 43.4% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 10.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.6% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 25.6% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Edward Stokes | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.