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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+6.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+5.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.63+7.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-2.21vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.14-0.77vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.19-5.70vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.82vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.46-2.35vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.49vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.88-9.76vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.24-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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15.14University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.73SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.22University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.65Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.57University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Golden | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Michael Grove | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kara Voss | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 40.6% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Edward Stokes | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 25.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 10.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.