← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.67+3.63vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.51+5.86vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-2.55+0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.44+1.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon0.11+1.11vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.18-0.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.56+0.68vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.20-0.85vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University-1.50+1.22vs Predicted
-
10Oregon State University0.04-3.76vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.05-1.81vs Predicted
-
12University of Oregon-1.36-1.86vs Predicted
-
13Oregon State University-0.27-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Western Washington University0.6713.6%1st Place
-
7.86Western Washington University-0.514.9%1st Place
-
3.71University of Washington-2.5521.5%1st Place
-
5.07University of Washington0.4412.0%1st Place
-
6.11University of Oregon0.117.8%1st Place
-
5.85University of Washington0.189.2%1st Place
-
7.68University of Washington-0.565.3%1st Place
-
7.15Western Washington University-0.205.7%1st Place
-
10.22Oregon State University-1.501.6%1st Place
-
6.24Oregon State University0.048.5%1st Place
-
9.19Western Washington University-1.052.7%1st Place
-
10.14University of Oregon-1.361.9%1st Place
-
7.16Oregon State University-0.275.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 13.6% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 21.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Avey | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| John Kish | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 31.3% |
| Liam Brinton | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Zoe Plattner | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 17.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 28.6% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.