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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.56+5.72vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.67+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.44+1.03vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.20+2.24vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.50+4.47vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.18-2.12vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-1.27vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.05-0.78vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.04-4.78vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.36-2.09vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-0.27-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Washington-2.5520.2%1st Place
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7.72University of Washington-0.564.9%1st Place
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4.65Western Washington University0.6714.3%1st Place
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5.03University of Washington0.4412.2%1st Place
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7.24Western Washington University-0.205.2%1st Place
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10.47Oregon State University-1.501.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Oregon0.118.6%1st Place
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5.88University of Washington0.188.6%1st Place
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7.73Western Washington University-0.514.9%1st Place
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9.22Western Washington University-1.052.9%1st Place
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6.22Oregon State University0.048.7%1st Place
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9.91University of Oregon-1.362.4%1st Place
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7.1Oregon State University-0.276.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 20.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Dalton Lovett | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| John Kish | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 34.8% |
| Emily Avey | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Zoe Plattner | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 26.3% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.