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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+5.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+7.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.87vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+4.36vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-1.79vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.74vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.47-1.04vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.22vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.23vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.24-3.46vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-7.14vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.63+0.19vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.46-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.57vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.54University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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15.19University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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12.8Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Michael Grove | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| John Wallace | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 39.7% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 11.9% |
| Christina Johns | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 28.2% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.