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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+3.56vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.11+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.18+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.44-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.56+1.86vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.20+0.20vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.04-1.71vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-1.07vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.27-2.92vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.05-1.80vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-1.50-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.36-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Western Washington University0.6715.0%1st Place
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3.74University of Washington-2.5520.9%1st Place
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5.99University of Oregon0.117.8%1st Place
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5.81University of Washington0.188.8%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington0.4413.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Washington-0.564.2%1st Place
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7.2Western Washington University-0.205.4%1st Place
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6.29Oregon State University0.047.2%1st Place
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7.93Western Washington University-0.514.9%1st Place
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7.08Oregon State University-0.275.5%1st Place
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9.2Western Washington University-1.053.5%1st Place
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10.32Oregon State University-1.502.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Oregon-1.361.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 15.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 20.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Liam Brinton | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Zoe Plattner | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| John Kish | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 32.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.