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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+5.12vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.64vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.24+3.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.57vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.41vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-3.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.78vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.46+1.89vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-1.77vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-7.03vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia3.14-4.85vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.50vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.05-6.33vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.97-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.61Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.86University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.89Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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11.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Golden | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 14.6% |
| John Wallace | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 30.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.