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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.58vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+4.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.97vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.14+3.14vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.24+1.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+2.45vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-3.77vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-4.49vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-6.21vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.77vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-4.52vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.45vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.97-2.47vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.46-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.69Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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12.6Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Michael Grove | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Stokes | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| John Wallace | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 31.7% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 31.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.