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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+7.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+5.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.14+5.95vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.01vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.46+4.56vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-3.03vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+4.50vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.32vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.63+2.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.24-5.36vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.42vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.39vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-11.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.0Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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6.19Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.56Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.97Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.5University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.72Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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15.07University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.61SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Golden | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Edward Stokes | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 20.4% | 27.8% |
| John Wallace | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Kara Voss | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 39.9% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.