← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.44+3.95vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.67+2.67vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.11+2.89vs Predicted
-
4Oregon State University0.04+2.28vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.20+2.23vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.18-0.16vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-2.55-3.28vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-0.27-0.84vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-1.05+0.22vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.51-2.17vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.66-2.99vs Predicted
-
12Oregon State University-1.50-1.75vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon-1.36-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.95University of Washington0.4413.8%1st Place
-
4.67Western Washington University0.6714.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of Oregon0.117.6%1st Place
-
6.28Oregon State University0.047.8%1st Place
-
7.23Western Washington University-0.205.9%1st Place
-
5.84University of Washington0.189.8%1st Place
-
3.72University of Washington-2.5519.4%1st Place
-
7.16Oregon State University-0.275.7%1st Place
-
9.22Western Washington University-1.052.9%1st Place
-
7.83Western Washington University-0.514.9%1st Place
-
8.01University of Washington-0.664.6%1st Place
-
10.25Oregon State University-1.501.5%1st Place
-
9.96University of Oregon-1.361.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 13.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Liam Brinton | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 19.4% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Zoe Plattner | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Kahle | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| John Kish | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 32.8% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.