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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+2.54vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.04+3.23vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.44+0.91vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51+2.74vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.05+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.18-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.36+0.87vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.20-2.81vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.27-3.98vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.66-3.84vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.50-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Washington-2.5520.3%1st Place
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4.54Western Washington University0.6714.1%1st Place
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6.23Oregon State University0.049.4%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington0.4413.1%1st Place
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7.74Western Washington University-0.514.5%1st Place
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9.22Western Washington University-1.051.8%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington0.188.6%1st Place
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6.07University of Oregon0.118.8%1st Place
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9.87University of Oregon-1.362.3%1st Place
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7.19Western Washington University-0.205.9%1st Place
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7.02Oregon State University-0.275.4%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington-0.664.3%1st Place
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10.35Oregon State University-1.501.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 20.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Zoe Plattner | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Emily Avey | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 25.6% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Kahle | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| John Kish | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.