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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.48vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.24+4.62vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.47+2.80vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.51vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+2.35vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-3.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.79vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-3.93vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46+0.97vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.10vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.14-5.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.42vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.63-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.35Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.97Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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14.1University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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15.11University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Sean Golden | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| John Wallace | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 24.7% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Kara Voss | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.