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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44+2.92vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.67+1.57vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.20+3.14vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.04+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.36+2.92vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.56-1.23vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.51-2.10vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.05-1.73vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.27-4.76vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.50-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Washington-2.5521.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington0.4412.2%1st Place
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4.57Western Washington University0.6714.3%1st Place
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7.14Western Washington University-0.205.7%1st Place
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6.29Oregon State University0.047.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Washington0.189.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Oregon-1.362.4%1st Place
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6.06University of Oregon0.117.8%1st Place
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7.77University of Washington-0.565.3%1st Place
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7.9Western Washington University-0.514.5%1st Place
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9.27Western Washington University-1.052.9%1st Place
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7.24Oregon State University-0.276.5%1st Place
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10.25Oregon State University-1.501.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maxwell Miller | 21.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Samuel Delasanta | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Dalton Lovett | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
Liam Brinton | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
Jaden Unruh | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Molly McLeod | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 26.6% |
Emily Avey | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Lauren McClintock | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
Anna Morrow | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
Zoe Plattner | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
John Kish | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.