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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.24+7.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+3.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.55vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.14+3.11vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82-0.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.82vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-1.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-3.72vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.74vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.19-8.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-3.63vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.46-3.19vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.63-1.68vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.96University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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7.31Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.79Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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12.81Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Michael Grove | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Sean Golden | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| John Wallace | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Edward Stokes | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% |
| Kara Voss | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 41.7% |
| Christina Johns | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.