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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+3.22vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.54+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.36+4.05vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.60+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.25+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.53-1.51vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03-0.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.32-4.03vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.83-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82-2.53vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.41-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Washington0.7417.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.5414.8%1st Place
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7.05University of Washington-0.365.1%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University-0.603.6%1st Place
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7.13University of Washington-0.256.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Washington0.5316.4%1st Place
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6.2Western Washington University0.037.3%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.475.3%1st Place
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4.97University of Oregon0.3211.8%1st Place
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8.26Oregon State University-0.834.2%1st Place
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8.47University of Oregon-0.822.9%1st Place
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7.14Western Washington University-0.415.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 17.1% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Henry Stier | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Peter Kelleher | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Marty Weigel | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Paul Schreiner | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.