← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon0.32+4.07vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.74+2.26vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.54+1.42vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.60+4.48vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.83+3.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.25+1.02vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.82+1.58vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-0.67vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington0.53-4.38vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.03-4.01vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.41-3.88vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-0.36-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.07University of Oregon0.3213.4%1st Place
-
4.26University of Washington0.7415.5%1st Place
-
4.42Western Washington University0.5415.7%1st Place
-
8.48Western Washington University-0.603.9%1st Place
-
8.22Oregon State University-0.833.5%1st Place
-
7.02University of Washington-0.255.8%1st Place
-
8.58University of Oregon-0.823.6%1st Place
-
7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.475.3%1st Place
-
4.62University of Washington0.5314.2%1st Place
-
5.99Western Washington University0.038.2%1st Place
-
7.12Western Washington University-0.415.5%1st Place
-
6.88University of Washington-0.365.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Murphy | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.5% |
| Paul Schreiner | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 19.4% |
| Henry Stier | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 22.9% |
| Marty Weigel | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% |
| Peter Kelleher | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.