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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.54+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.53+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.82+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.25+1.09vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.41+0.03vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.07-1.87vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.36-2.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-2.84vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.39-1.49vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.83-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Western Washington University0.5414.6%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.7417.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Washington0.5316.4%1st Place
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4.99University of Oregon0.3211.9%1st Place
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8.35University of Oregon-0.822.8%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-0.254.1%1st Place
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7.03Western Washington University-0.416.3%1st Place
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6.13Western Washington University-0.078.2%1st Place
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6.74University of Washington-0.366.2%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.476.0%1st Place
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9.51Western Washington University-1.392.1%1st Place
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8.1Oregon State University-0.834.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Kelleher | 16.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
| Henry Stier | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Soren Althoff | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Marty Weigel | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Piper Easton | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 35.9% |
| Paul Schreiner | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.