← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.54+3.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.74+2.02vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-1.00+5.10vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.53+0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.36+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.07-0.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon0.32-2.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-0.82-0.39vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.41-2.65vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.25-3.68vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.39-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.06Western Washington University0.5416.1%1st Place
-
4.02University of Washington0.7416.9%1st Place
-
8.1Oregon State University-1.002.9%1st Place
-
4.16University of Washington0.5315.8%1st Place
-
6.4University of Washington-0.366.6%1st Place
-
5.54Western Washington University-0.078.6%1st Place
-
4.63University of Oregon0.3213.7%1st Place
-
7.61University of Oregon-0.823.5%1st Place
-
6.35Western Washington University-0.416.7%1st Place
-
6.32University of Washington-0.257.6%1st Place
-
8.81Western Washington University-1.391.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 16.1% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 25.6% |
| Peter Kelleher | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Soren Althoff | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Henry Stier | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Piper Easton | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.