← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.54+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon0.32+2.60vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.60+4.53vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.25+2.48vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.03+0.59vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.53-1.67vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.74-3.00vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-1.00+0.35vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.41-2.41vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.36-3.59vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon-0.82-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25Western Washington University0.5416.6%1st Place
-
4.6University of Oregon0.3213.3%1st Place
-
7.53Western Washington University-0.603.5%1st Place
-
6.48University of Washington-0.256.3%1st Place
-
5.59Western Washington University0.039.6%1st Place
-
4.33University of Washington0.5315.4%1st Place
-
4.0University of Washington0.7417.2%1st Place
-
8.35Oregon State University-1.002.9%1st Place
-
6.59Western Washington University-0.416.6%1st Place
-
6.41University of Washington-0.365.9%1st Place
-
7.87University of Oregon-0.822.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 16.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Murphy | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| Henry Stier | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Peter Kelleher | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 30.5% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.