Race 5A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Haley Powell 6.3% 8.7% 9.1% 7.9% 7.8% 9.7% 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 8.1% 5.4% 5.2% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Caitlin Watson 4.0% 6.4% 6.3% 6.5% 7.2% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 5.7% 2.0% 1.6%
Johanna Kincaid 8.3% 8.5% 6.8% 7.9% 9.5% 9.1% 9.0% 7.5% 9.2% 7.3% 6.7% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Kaitlyn Norton 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6% 4.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 8.5% 10.2% 9.1% 13.2% 11.5% 4.9%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.5% 9.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.5% 5.3% 3.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 3.9% 2.9% 4.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.2% 6.0% 8.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.3% 9.0% 8.2% 7.6% 5.0% 2.4%
Natalie Salk 13.4% 11.3% 10.3% 11.7% 10.5% 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 4.4% 1.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 9.0% 7.3% 7.2% 4.9% 3.7% 2.4% 0.2%
Lizzy Hamilton 4.7% 4.9% 5.6% 5.1% 7.2% 6.1% 7.6% 8.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 8.9% 7.9% 4.5% 4.1% 1.5%
Genevieve Marquardt 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 4.3% 4.1% 4.6% 6.5% 8.3% 10.8% 16.7% 17.7% 11.4%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.5% 3.8% 4.9% 5.6% 4.3% 5.5% 5.6% 5.8% 7.0% 7.9% 8.3% 9.4% 11.1% 9.7% 4.5% 2.1%
Morgan Kiss 23.0% 19.7% 15.4% 10.7% 9.6% 7.0% 5.3% 3.4% 2.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rosalind Lesh 7.3% 7.1% 9.5% 9.6% 7.5% 9.2% 11.2% 7.5% 7.7% 6.8% 6.3% 4.3% 3.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Brooke Doyon 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 0.5% 1.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 4.3% 6.9% 8.2% 20.0% 46.2%
Elise Gehling 4.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 6.5% 7.8% 6.6% 7.9% 7.5% 9.3% 9.9% 7.7% 9.6% 5.0% 1.6%
Priscilla Stoll 0.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.3% 9.3% 12.1% 24.3% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.