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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.54+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.53+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.32+1.81vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.60+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.25+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.36-0.55vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.00+0.25vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.03-3.46vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.41-3.51vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Western Washington University0.5416.6%1st Place
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4.31University of Washington0.5315.6%1st Place
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4.81University of Oregon0.3212.3%1st Place
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7.7Western Washington University-0.604.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington0.7417.6%1st Place
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6.47University of Washington-0.255.9%1st Place
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6.45University of Washington-0.366.4%1st Place
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8.25Oregon State University-1.002.5%1st Place
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5.54Western Washington University0.039.7%1st Place
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6.49Western Washington University-0.416.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Oregon-0.822.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 16.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Kelleher | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 17.6% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Stier | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 29.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.