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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+4.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+5.56vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+3.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-0.37vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+2.13vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.97+3.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-1.57vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-1.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.00vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51-1.33vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-4.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-8.24vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.51-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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3.63Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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9.02Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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13.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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14.14University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 22.0% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 22.2% | 27.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.4% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 20.9% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.