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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.54+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.25+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.53+0.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.03+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.32-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.36-0.40vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.07-2.17vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.00-0.38vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.41-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Western Washington University0.5417.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Washington-0.255.6%1st Place
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4.17University of Washington0.7416.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington0.5316.1%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University0.037.6%1st Place
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4.85University of Oregon0.3212.8%1st Place
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6.6University of Washington-0.365.5%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University-0.077.7%1st Place
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8.62Oregon State University-1.002.5%1st Place
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6.88Western Washington University-0.415.2%1st Place
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7.93University of Oregon-0.823.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Henry Stier | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Kelleher | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Soren Althoff | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 37.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.