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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+4.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+5.40vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.51+7.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+2.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53+1.45vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+1.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-5.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-4.70vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.97-1.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-6.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-7.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.88vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.51-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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3.6Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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13.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 11.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 25.0% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 24.7% | 26.1% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.