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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+6.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.03vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.87vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+5.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+5.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.06vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.60+3.73vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.99vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59-1.69vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.27+1.77vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.67vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.26vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.19-0.38vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.44-2.59vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.67-5.05vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.30-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Fordham University1.987.2%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.4%1st Place
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5.87Cornell University2.3810.9%1st Place
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9.44Hampton University0.583.2%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.9%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University2.4013.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Pennsylvania1.777.6%1st Place
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11.73Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.4%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University1.595.4%1st Place
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12.77Penn State University0.271.2%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.4%1st Place
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11.74SUNY Maritime College0.502.1%1st Place
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13.62Washington College0.191.1%1st Place
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12.41Columbia University0.441.7%1st Place
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10.95Virginia Tech0.672.5%1st Place
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8.08Webb Institute1.306.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 19.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 28.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| James Lilyquist | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.