Race 11A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Morgan Kiss 23.9% 18.9% 17.3% 10.9% 9.4% 5.1% 5.4% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 12.6% 13.6% 10.9% 10.7% 11.0% 7.8% 8.8% 6.0% 6.8% 3.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.4% 4.0% 3.9% 6.8% 6.3% 6.5% 8.4% 10.8% 11.7% 11.2% 9.7% 4.2%
Lizzy Hamilton 4.1% 6.0% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 6.2% 7.3% 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 7.9% 9.2% 8.3% 6.6% 4.1% 1.2%
Haley Powell 6.5% 6.8% 8.1% 7.5% 9.4% 8.4% 8.0% 8.0% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.1% 5.0% 7.1% 7.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 4.3% 2.7% 0.3%
Elise Gehling 4.3% 5.0% 4.4% 5.0% 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 5.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 5.7% 1.8%
Johanna Kincaid 8.1% 8.0% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 9.0% 9.1% 8.5% 7.4% 6.9% 5.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Caitlin Watson 4.8% 5.4% 5.4% 5.7% 6.3% 8.6% 7.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 8.7% 6.7% 6.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.4%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.9% 8.9% 6.5% 6.2% 4.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 4.3% 5.4% 3.8% 4.6% 6.2% 6.7% 4.7% 7.1% 7.4% 8.1% 9.3% 9.7% 8.5% 8.3% 4.6% 1.3%
Rosalind Lesh 7.8% 7.0% 9.3% 10.5% 9.0% 7.7% 6.7% 7.1% 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 4.5% 3.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Genevieve Marquardt 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 2.4% 5.0% 5.0% 4.7% 6.4% 7.8% 11.5% 15.8% 16.6% 10.9%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.0% 3.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.9% 7.5% 6.6% 7.1% 6.7% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 2.0%
Priscilla Stoll 1.4% 1.5% 0.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 1.9% 3.8% 4.7% 4.6% 8.5% 12.8% 24.9% 26.7%
Brooke Doyon 0.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 8.3% 18.2% 49.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.