← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.83+7.60vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.98+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.71+3.08vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.58+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.18vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.75+0.08vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.97+2.91vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.76-3.01vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.87-4.21vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.21-6.23vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.56-5.16vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.19-0.49vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut0.07-1.42vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.6Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
5.27Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.08Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.5Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.08Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
-
10.91Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
-
5.99Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.79Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
4.77Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
-
6.84Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
12.51Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
-
12.58University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
-
14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Hood | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 13.4% | 2.2% |
| Marly Isler | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 26.5% | 35.0% | 8.4% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 25.8% | 34.7% | 10.4% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.