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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+5.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+3.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+1.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+1.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56-0.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83+0.72vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87-3.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-3.32vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-4.92vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.07-0.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.19-1.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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4.62Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.53Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.08Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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12.38Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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14.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 10.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 22.6% | 23.5% | 14.8% | 1.0% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 24.5% | 38.0% | 11.1% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 14.4% | 27.2% | 29.4% | 8.8% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 12.1% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.