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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+5.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+3.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+3.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+2.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+1.84vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+1.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-2.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.61vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-4.73vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.07-0.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.19-1.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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6.27Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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12.59Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 24.5% | 43.0% | 11.2% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 29.3% | 35.2% | 9.0% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 12.6% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.