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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+4.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+4.18vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+1.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.83+4.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.27vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+0.83vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.19+5.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.75vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-3.67vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-4.21vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-5.91vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-4.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.75+0.61vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.07-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.72Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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8.98Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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12.52Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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6.33Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 28.1% | 38.8% | 8.6% |
| Christina Frost | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Collins | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 11.4% | 81.2% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 8.5% | 25.1% | 41.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.